Vivien prediction game results
Aug. 27th, 2012 09:33 amHere are the official results and supporting numbers for the baby guessing game Elizabeth ran on Facebook (using the names supplied on Facebook). I standardized the three components to have a root mean squared error of one, and summed the standardized differences; lowest sum wins. Congratulations Ada!
| Female? | Weight (oz) | Date diff | Sq. error (sex) | Sq. error (wt) | Sq. error (date) | Score (sex) | Score (weight) | Score (date) | Score (sum) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ada Marie | 1 | 77 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 256 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.75 | 0.80 |
| Marc Phillion | 1 | 104 | 11 | 0 | 841 | 121 | 0.00 | 0.83 | 0.51 | 1.34 |
| Lynne Stockwell | 1 | 98 | 23 | 0 | 529 | 529 | 0.00 | 0.65 | 1.07 | 1.73 |
| Caycee Price | 1 | 104 | 20 | 0 | 841 | 400 | 0.00 | 0.83 | 0.93 | 1.76 |
| Sara Boucher | 1 | 113 | 15 | 0 | 1,444 | 225 | 0.00 | 1.08 | 0.70 | 1.78 |
| Kelly Ryan | 1 | 115 | 23 | 0 | 1,600 | 529 | 0.00 | 1.14 | 1.07 | 2.21 |
| Judith Stockwell Taylor | 1 | 114 | 25 | 0 | 1,521 | 625 | 0.00 | 1.11 | 1.17 | 2.28 |
| Jessica Cohen | 1 | 112 | 27 | 0 | 1,369 | 729 | 0.00 | 1.05 | 1.26 | 2.31 |
| Cynthia Bruce-Marzenska | 1 | 123 | 21 | 0 | 2,348 | 441 | 0.00 | 1.38 | 0.98 | 2.36 |
| Karen Bennett | 0 | 118 | 27 | 1 | 1,849 | 729 | 3.16 | 1.22 | 1.26 | 5.65 |
| TRUE | 1 | 75 | 0 | |||||||
| RMSE | 0.32 | 35.14 | 21.41 |